Logical reasoning PrepTest 112 · Section 4 · Question 5

Question prompt

In a poll of Remaining source text redacted.
Why the credited answer is right

Credited answer: A

The notes below walk through why it fits the stem and how to eliminate the rest.

Argument or Facts

Facts

Valid or Flawed

NA

Question Type

Bizarro / Paradox Questions

Stimulus Summary

Poll (day before election) - More people favored Panitch
Results - Yeung beat Panitch by a lot

Answer Anticipation

As with all Paradox questions, we should start by clearly defining the paradox. Here, it’s that a poll was wildly off - it showed Panitch winning, but, in reality, Yeung “comfortabl[y]” beat him.
So what would resolve this discrepancy? Well, we can’t question the results of the election, so it must be the case that the poll was off. Let’s find answers that explain how that happened and eliminate them in this Bizarro Paradox question.

Answer choices

  1. A
    Of Yeung's supporters, a Remaining source text redacted.
    Why choice A matches the stem
    If the poll were of all individuals, then this answer might explain why Panitch’s support was inflated. However, it’s noted that the poll was of eligible voters, so it doesn’t matter the percentage of Yeung and Panitch’s supporters who were eligible to vote. As such, this answer doesn’t address the paradox and is therefore the correct answer in this Bizarro question.
  2. B
    A third candidate, Mulhern, Remaining source text redacted.
    Why choice B is not credited
    This answer takes a step, but that’s allowed in Paradox questions (especially Bizarro Paradox questions). The poll was conducted the eve of the election. If, after the poll, Mulhern dropped out, then those voters would be free to vote for another candidate. If they broke for Yeung, then that explains her comfortable margin of victory despite the poll showing Panitch in the lead.
  3. C
    The poll's questions were Remaining source text redacted.
    Why choice C is not credited
    If Panitch’s staff designed the poll, then it was likely favorable to him, explaining how the results were skewed in his favor compared to his actual level of support.
  4. D
    Of the poll respondents Remaining source text redacted.
    Why choice D is not credited
    If Yeung’s supporters thought the election was more important than Panitch’s, then they’d be more likely to show up to actually vote on election day. This answer, therefore, explains how Yeung outperformed her polling numbers.
  5. E
    The poll, conducted on Remaining source text redacted.
    Why choice E is not credited
    If the poll was conducted in an area that was all in for Panitch, then it explains why they were skewed towards that candidate. A poll that was more representative would likely have shown more support for Yeung.

What this tests

Question analytics

Based on historical answer selection rates for this question.

Answer choice distribution

  1. A Credited 74%
  2. B 13%
  3. C 5%
  4. D 4%
  5. E 5%

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Discussion

  • I choice E 1 reply

    Started by Tebanks

  • Answer B 2 replies

    Started by RitaW

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